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Genband Makes Bold Bid for Nortel CVAS Unit
30 December 2009
 
Akshay K. Sharma  

Genband looks to expand its IP multimedia subsystem and unified communications presence by bidding for Nortel's Carrier VoIP and Application Solutions division. It's an ambitious move.









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News Analysis




Event

On 23 December 2009, IP gateway manufacturer Genband announced it planned to buy "substantially all" of Nortel's Carrier VoIP and Application Solutions (CVAS) for $282 million plus $100 million in other adjustments, with the deal partly financed by its own shareholders. As part of the deal, Genband has committed to hire a significant majority of CVAS employees.




Analysis

This bid is part of a competitive auction and other bidders may emerge; however, if Genband's bid succeeds, it will:

  • Gain important softswitch, unified communications (UC) and IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS) technology. This will complement its focus on VoIP and circuit-switched voice and fill a gap created in its portfolio by the partial divestment of its softswitch products. The latest Gartner softswitch Magic Quadrant rates Nortel as a "Visionary." Our main concerns center on its financial viability.
  • Emerge as a clear No. 1 in the softswitch and media gateway market. The deal would put Genband ahead of Sonus, Ericsson, Nokia Siemens Networks, Huawei and Alcatel-Lucent. Nortel has important softswitch deployments with Tier 1 carriers, like Verizon and AT&T. Genband will work to convert these into IMS and UC deals to deepen its presence in North America.
  • Benefit from Nortel’s significant North American revenue streams. Nortel's CVAS division produced FY08 revenue of about $800 million. It showed strong growth of about 14% from 3Q08 to 3Q09.

Genband faces two main risks. It may:

  • Be outbid. Nortel's CVAS revenue is attractive. But Genband's offer is in line with successful bids for other Nortel divisions, based on percentage of annual product and service revenue.
  • Have difficulty integrating a much larger competitor. Genband's 2008 revenue stood at $144 million, less than one-fifth of Nortel's CVAS revenue, and it has less than one-third of the employees too. Genband will have to rationalize common portfolios while maintaining Nortel's CVAS sales momentum in 2010.





Recommendations



  • Greenfield accounts requiring IMS or UC: Wait for Genband to announce a road map for Rich Communications Suite (RCS) support.
  • Nortel CVAS customers: Monitor the progress of the deal. Reduce depreciation cycles for Nortel products to account for the possibility of the winner of the auction discontinuing them.





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